Leadership in a postwestern world live stream watch leaders in a twoday conference examine the future direction of the world december 11, 2012. The latest nic report released on december 2012 is called global trends 2030. It describes the megatrends, gamechangers, and four potential worlds that we will likely face. Cia global trends 2030 by exopolitics hungary issuu. Global trends 2030 compared with the 2052 global forecast. Jan 11, 20 whats especially interesting about global trends 2030 is that it culminates in a section called alternative worlds. Global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the ra. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future as with previous editions, the national intelligence council hopes that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by identifying critical trends and potential discontinuities. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during the next 1520 years.
A publication of the national intelligence council national intelligence council, penny hill press on. This according to the national intelligence council, at least, a usbased coalition of spy agencies that has just released its predictions for whats in store for the earth in 2030. In december, the atlantic councils strategic foresight initiative hosted a conference entitled global trends 2030. The latest, free version of acrobat reader is available for download at adobe. The analytic arm of the office of the director of national. It, therefore, makes individual initiative the most important factor in solving the many global challenges faced today and in the next 1520 years. Alternative worlds report, the conference brought policy makers together with futurists to discuss the global megatrends that might. Food wastage is a growing problem and developing a farmtomarket supply chain is evolving.
As with previous editions, we hope that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by identifying critical trends and potential discontinuities. International reactions to muslim women who learn to read will read. Arguably, darker scenarios are imaginable, including a complete breakdown and reversal of globalization due to a potential large. In december, the united states national intelligence council nic published its guess. The world of 2030 will be radically transformed from our world today. Global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible. Overview of the national intelligence council report on. Get your kindle here, or download a free kindle reading app.
Alternative worlds read it here and discusses several issues such as the decline of the role of the united states as a global policeman and the rise of nonstate actors in world politics. Global trends 2030s six potential gamechangers the vast changes resulting from the megatrends and tectonic shifts alone ensure a transformed world by 2030. Whats especially interesting about global trends 2030 is that it culminates in a section called alternative worlds. Alternative worlds open pdf 0 b this report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during the next 1520 years. Daily collaboration among the 17 agencies in the ic gives u.
I would like to point out several innovations in global trends 2030. Dec 01, 2012 looks at global trends including aging demographics, technology advancements, global warming, resources constraints, population increases, the dimension centrality of the us, and other trends to project out what the world will be like in 2030. A report made for norfund by sony kapoor, september 2016. Incorporated as a notforprofit foundation in 1971, and headquartered in geneva, switzerland, the forum is tied to no political, partisan or national interests. In india and china natural energy and water resources are scarce. A condensed version of the report is also available 1. The world economic forum is an independent international organization committed to improving the state of the world by engaging business, political, academic and other leaders of society to shape global, regional and industry agendas. Global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years. Nov 10, 20 peter groen take the time to look over the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils nic series of reports aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future entitled global trends 2030. Dec, 2012 the futureworld order will be shaped by human agency asmuch as unfolding trends and unanticipated events.
After 107 pages of snazzy infographics on globalized workflows, widespread aging, and the advantages and disadvantages of a multipolar global economy, the experts depict four possible futures using scenario narratives. Global trends, values, and ethics is a book that asks, what will our world be like in the next fifteen to twenty years. Bill burkewhite what will be the shape of the united nations security council unsc in 2030. Alternative worlds, the nic identifies major global trends and how they will play out to impact nations, their people, and the international community in the. Global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast. Four worlds of work for 2030 which will kickstart your thinking about the many possible scenarios that could develop, and how to best prepare for the future. Government and intelligence community career and education opportunities foreign language intelligence community internship, coop, scholarship and career opportunities science, technology, engineering and math. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence. Will the international monetary fund imf and world bank exist in 2030.
Instead of a set of cassandralike forecasts of doom or a pollyannaish burst of optimism, global trends 2030 offers a balanced presentation on how the world. All such very likely developments, in part within the 2030 time horizon, will require a kind of global leviathan enforcing limitations on development and use of dangerous or disruptibe technologies worldwide with very radical implications for global governance. Alternative worlds, provides a thoughtprovoking read for any money manager who even minimally considers a longterm view important in making portfolio allocation decisions. Obviously, nobody knows, but some things are more likely than others. This report is the intelligence communitys best assessment of critical drivers and global scenarios over the next 15 years. The futureworld order will be shaped by human agency asmuch as unfolding trends and unanticipated events. As with previous editions, the national intelligence council hopes that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by identifying critical trends and potential.
How these six gamechangers evolve and interact with each other and with the megatrends and tectonic shifts will determine what kind of transformed world we will experience in 2030. Share of global middleclass consumption, 20002050 percent others eu us japan other asia india china 1990 to 2010 2010 to 2030 projected global trends 2030. This year, principal author mathew burrows and his colleagues focus on a series of plausible. Due to its large file size, this book may take longer to download. Arguably, darker scenarios are imaginable, including a complete breakdown and.
In the next 1520 years, the middle class will be the most important economic and social sector in many countries around the world global trends 2030 alternative worlds, 2012. Jan 07, 20 the latest nic report released on december 2012 is called global trends 2030. Global trends and challenges, term paper get sample. New health technologies will continue to extend the average age of populations around the world, ameliorate debilitating physical and mental conditions, and improve overall wellbeing.
The nic as well as other organizations in the european union eu, russia, and north atlantic treaty organization nato have conducted such reports about global trends and the future world of 2030. Alternative worlds, the fifth installment of a series that aims to provide a framework for thinking about future policy planning. Jan 07, 20 the futureworld order will be shaped by human agency asmuch as unfolding trends and unanticipated events. A game without a referee the relative decline of the west, the process of globalisation, and the emergence of new powers is creating a world with several interconnected poles. The national intelligence council predicts a very transhuman. The following report was released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council a condensed version of the report is also available 1. The report is intended to stimulate strategic thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes. Individual empowerment majority of worlds population wont be impoverished. According to policymakers in the us, eu, russia, and nato, trends may bend in many potential directions, ranging from the rise of technologically empowered individuals. Global trends and risks that will shape the world over the next 20 years 4 1. This paper compares the forecasts presented in two recent publications, global trends 2030 and 2052 a global forecast for the next forty years. Alternative worlds, an 140page report that brings together the best brains within the intelligence sector to.
The competing forces shaping 2030 2 contents pwc s global people and organisation practice brings together an. In the information age, the power of actionable information cannot be underestimated. Alternative worlds is a draft report being prepared by the us national intelligence council to be released after the presidential election, in december 2012. National intelligence council releases global trends 2030. The two differ because randers believes in slower population and economic growth over the next several decades, significant disruption from increasing climate change, and an end to us supremacy.
All such very likely developments, in part within the 2030 time horizon, will require a kind of global leviathan enforcing limitations on development and use of dangerous or disruptibe technologies worldwide with very radical implications for global governance not coped with in the relevant publication. Organized to coincide with the release of the national intelligence councils global trends 2030. Companies and governments have to make informed guesses, because some of their investments today will last longer than 20 years. Policy planners in the us foresaw a series of individual, society, state, and global level megatrends.
We are at a critical juncture in human history, which could lead to widely contrasting futures, writes the chairman of the national intelligence council nic christopher kojm in the councils latest forwardlooking quadrennial report, global trends 2030. The goal of the report is to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over. The number of refugees and asylum seekers rose by 2. Download navigating a world of disruption, the briefing note on which this article is based pdf271kb. This edition of global trends is the most widely disseminated in its history. International reactions to muslim women who learn to read will read the global trends 2030 koran, not the bill of rights. T he world of 2030 will be radically potential black swansdiscrete. Alternative worlds kindle edition by burrows, mathew. Alternative worlds leads with the stalled engines alternative world a scenario in which the united states and europe turn inward and globalization stalls as one of its bookends, illustrating the most plausible worstcase scenario.
Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about. What will our future world be like in the next fifteen to twenty years. The report is available for the most popular content platforms and ereaders. Executive summary this report is intended to stimulate thinking about the. On monday december 10, 2012 the office of the director of national intelligence. Whether the data is collected from the global skies or on foreign ground, the ic brings it all together to report current world events.
Use features like bookmarks, note taking and highlighting while reading global trends 2030. Burrows, counselor, us national intelligence council. It, therefore, makes individual initiative the most important factor in solving the many global. Will the international monetary fund imf and world bank exist. Pressure is rising as we see increasing competition for resources e. Migration flows linked to the environment are on the rise. Download it once and read it on your kindle device, pc, phones or tablets. Alternative worlds report is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. Dec 07, 2014 however, the combination of trends, game changers, and alternative worlds provides sufficient breadth of analysis to give any critic an idea of how alternative global scenarios may arise. Alternativeworldsa publication of the national intelligence. At the end of 2012, the us national intelligence council nic released global trends 2030. In depth research, detailed modeling and a variety of analytical tools drawn from public, private and academic sources were employed in the production of this.